{"id":37870,"date":"2025-06-27T14:36:20","date_gmt":"2025-06-27T12:36:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/?p=37870"},"modified":"2025-10-22T12:00:35","modified_gmt":"2025-10-22T10:00:35","slug":"how-do-data-and-ai-predict-a-films-success-even-before-it-is-shot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/en\/how-do-data-and-ai-predict-a-films-success-even-before-it-is-shot\/","title":{"rendered":"How do data and AI predict a film&#8217;s success even before it is shot?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"37870\" class=\"elementor elementor-37870 elementor-35495\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-053ca9c e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"053ca9c\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-08cb671 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"08cb671\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-53e74ab elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget-tablet__width-inherit elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"53e74ab\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has been making its way into the <a href=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/domaine-icc\/en\/cinema\/\"><u>film industry<\/u><\/a>, offering innovative tools to predict the success of films, for example. Sami Arpa, CEO of Swiss start-up <a href=\"https:\/\/home.largo.ai\/\"><u>Largo.ia<\/u><\/a>, has demonstrated how data analysis and AI can transform film production and distribution. This mini-revolution is taking shape in Switzerland and could well shake up the global film industry.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-69e0386 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"69e0386\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u2018Producers, studios and distributors have a much greater impact on a film&#8217;s success than screenwriters, directors or even actors,\u2019 explains Sami Arpa. Budget and advertising (P&amp;A) are also factors that have the greatest influence on return on investment. To back up his claims, he cites various studies, some of which were conducted on several thousand American films. \u2018Disney, for example, sees 70% of its films become commercial successes, ahead of 20th Century and Paramount. American studios largely dominate this field, ahead of Spain, the United Kingdom and Italy.\u2019 This type of data feeds into the algorithms developed by Largo.ai, which predict the success of films.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3efba20 elementor-widget elementor-widget-video\" data-id=\"3efba20\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;youtube_url&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/www.youtube.com\\\/watch?v=z2Fr8o3bD68&quot;,&quot;video_type&quot;:&quot;youtube&quot;,&quot;controls&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"video.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-wrapper elementor-open-inline\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-video\"><\/div>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-83040ba elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"83040ba\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a0539e3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"a0539e3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Predictive or generative AI: two complementary approaches<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5f5da0f elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"5f5da0f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;slideInLeft&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f8b92c0 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f8b92c0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>AI in cinema is not limited to prediction. \u2018Between 2006 and 2007, recommendation systems began collecting data to understand what people liked,\u2019 recalls Sami Arpa. &#8220;Today, predictive AI can analyse content, data and audiences to improve productions. Generative AI, on the other hand, creates new content, such as scripts, visual effects, and even entire scenes.&#8221;<br \/>Largo.ia focuses on predictive AI. \u2018We carefully analyse film scripts based on what happens on screen: action, comedy, crime, fantasy&#8230; We also study the emotions conveyed throughout the films, such as joy, confidence, surprise or fear.\u2019 This scene-by-scene analysis helps determine what works and what doesn&#8217;t in a film.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f0d2b67 elementor-arrows-position-inside elementor-pagination-position-outside elementor-widget elementor-widget-image-carousel\" data-id=\"f0d2b67\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;slides_to_show&quot;:&quot;2&quot;,&quot;slides_to_scroll&quot;:&quot;1&quot;,&quot;navigation&quot;:&quot;both&quot;,&quot;autoplay&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;pause_on_hover&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;pause_on_interaction&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;autoplay_speed&quot;:5000,&quot;infinite&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;speed&quot;:500,&quot;image_spacing_custom&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:20,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;image_spacing_custom_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;image_spacing_custom_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]}}\" data-widget_type=\"image-carousel.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-image-carousel-wrapper swiper\" role=\"region\" aria-roledescription=\"carousel\" aria-label=\"Carrousel d\u2019images\" dir=\"ltr\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-image-carousel swiper-wrapper\" aria-live=\"off\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"swiper-slide\" role=\"group\" aria-roledescription=\"slide\" aria-label=\"1 of 8\"><figure class=\"swiper-slide-inner\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"swiper-slide-image\" src=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/54522736396_03089ba6f0_b-768x432.jpg\" alt=\"54522736396_03089ba6f0_b\" \/><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"swiper-slide\" role=\"group\" aria-roledescription=\"slide\" aria-label=\"2 of 8\"><figure class=\"swiper-slide-inner\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"swiper-slide-image\" src=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/54521866767_975b1036e9_b-768x432.jpg\" alt=\"Sami Arpa\" \/><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"swiper-slide\" role=\"group\" aria-roledescription=\"slide\" aria-label=\"3 of 8\"><figure class=\"swiper-slide-inner\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"swiper-slide-image\" src=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/54521866537_2fdcfa09a2_b-768x432.jpg\" alt=\"54521866537_2fdcfa09a2_b\" \/><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"swiper-slide\" role=\"group\" aria-roledescription=\"slide\" aria-label=\"4 of 8\"><figure class=\"swiper-slide-inner\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"swiper-slide-image\" src=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/54522736126_cb426647c3_b-768x432.jpg\" alt=\"54522736126_cb426647c3_b\" \/><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"swiper-slide\" role=\"group\" aria-roledescription=\"slide\" aria-label=\"5 of 8\"><figure class=\"swiper-slide-inner\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"swiper-slide-image\" src=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/54521866987_fa980b9b00_b-768x432.jpg\" alt=\"54521866987_fa980b9b00_b\" \/><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"swiper-slide\" role=\"group\" aria-roledescription=\"slide\" aria-label=\"6 of 8\"><figure class=\"swiper-slide-inner\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"swiper-slide-image\" src=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/54521866962_4e32bf77f8_b-768x432.jpg\" alt=\"54521866962_4e32bf77f8_b\" \/><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"swiper-slide\" role=\"group\" aria-roledescription=\"slide\" aria-label=\"7 of 8\"><figure class=\"swiper-slide-inner\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"swiper-slide-image\" src=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/54522988908_c17569af32_b-768x432.jpg\" alt=\"54522988908_c17569af32_b\" \/><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"swiper-slide\" role=\"group\" aria-roledescription=\"slide\" aria-label=\"8 of 8\"><figure class=\"swiper-slide-inner\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"swiper-slide-image\" src=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/54522988483_1b2bd9a1c7_b-768x432.jpg\" alt=\"54522988483_1b2bd9a1c7_b\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-swiper-button elementor-swiper-button-prev\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-eicon-chevron-left\" viewBox=\"0 0 1000 1000\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M646 125C629 125 613 133 604 142L308 442C296 454 292 471 292 487 292 504 296 521 308 533L604 854C617 867 629 875 646 875 663 875 679 871 692 858 704 846 713 829 713 812 713 796 708 779 692 767L438 487 692 225C700 217 708 204 708 187 708 171 704 154 692 142 675 129 663 125 646 125Z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-swiper-button elementor-swiper-button-next\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-eicon-chevron-right\" viewBox=\"0 0 1000 1000\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M696 533C708 521 713 504 713 487 713 471 708 454 696 446L400 146C388 133 375 125 354 125 338 125 325 129 313 142 300 154 292 171 292 187 292 204 296 221 308 233L563 492 304 771C292 783 288 800 288 817 288 833 296 850 308 863 321 871 338 875 354 875 371 875 388 867 400 854L696 533Z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"swiper-pagination\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1e491e3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"1e491e3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-47df7dc elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"47df7dc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">An opportunity for European productions?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3b77f50 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"3b77f50\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;slideInLeft&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f040351 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f040351\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Thanks to AI, it is possible to select the right scenario, determine the ideal budget to maximise revenue, and even predict returns on investment based on the actors and actresses chosen. Largo.ia also creates virtual panels (digital twins) of viewers, which make it possible to anticipate criticism or questions about films.<\/p><p>However, the use of AI in <a href=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/domaine-icc\/en\/cinema\/\"><u>the film industry<\/u><\/a> raises some fundamental questions. \u2018Bias, ethics and diversity are major issues. So are copyright issues for authors and actors.\u2019 Despite these challenges, AI represents a considerable opportunity for European productions compared to the US. \u2018Thanks to AI, costs can be reduced tenfold, which could partially compensate for Europe&#8217;s lack of resources,\u2019 concludes Sami Arpa. Watch this space.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3096700 elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3096700\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Comments gathered on 13 May 2025 in Monthey during the PRISM Conference.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has been making its way into the film industry, offering innovative tools to predict the success of films, for example. Sami Arpa, CEO of Swiss start-up Largo.ia, has demonstrated how data analysis and AI can transform film production and distribution. This mini-revolution is taking shape in Switzerland and could well shake up the global film industry.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35529,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[99],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ai"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How do data and AI predict a film&#039;s success even before it is shot? - PRISM<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has been making its way into the film industry, offering innovative tools to predict the success of films\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/prism-vs.ch\/en\/how-do-data-and-ai-predict-a-films-success-even-before-it-is-shot\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How do data and AI predict a film&#039;s success even before it is shot? 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